Holstebro vs Næsby: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Krøyer Park, Holstebro
The Footlab AI model makes Næsby the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Holstebro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Næsby wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstebro vs Næsby?
Næsby starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holstebro vs Næsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holstebro
Not enough data to predict the Holstebro lineup.
Næsby
4-3-3- 9O. Koertz
- 10K. Host
- 20R. Larsen
- 15K. Nyegaard
- 18A. Kjaergaard
- 8L. Larsen
- 2A. Molberg
- 22L. Jensen
- 14A. Tomaselli
- 16R. Knudsen
- 1Rasmus Jepsen-Jacob
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstebro have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Næsby have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brønshøj(home) | 2-4 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Næsby(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Frem(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frem(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 2-3 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holstebro wins, 0 draws, 3 Næsby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Næsby 4-0 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Holstebro 0-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Næsby 0-2 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Holstebro 1-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Næsby 1-2 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Holstebro 1-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Holstebro score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Næsby score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstebro | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Næsby | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstebro sit 8th in 3. Division (13 points from 10 matches) and Næsby sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Næsby | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 13 |
A question about Holstebro vs Næsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstebro vs Næsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Næsby the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Holstebro.
- Where and when is Holstebro vs Næsby played?
- Holstebro vs Næsby is played on March 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Krøyer Park, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.