Holstebro vs Næsby: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Krøyer Park, Holstebro
The Footlab model makes Holstebro the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Næsby. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstebro vs Næsby?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Holstebro (1,713) and Næsby (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstebro have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Næsby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ishøj(away) | 5-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brønshøj(home) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kolding B(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holstebro win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Næsby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | Holstebro 0-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Næsby 0-2 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Holstebro 1-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Næsby 1-2 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Holstebro 1-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Næsby 2-0 Holstebro | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Holstebro score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Næsby score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstebro | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Næsby | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstebro sit 2nd in 3. Division (7 points from 3 matches) and Næsby sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Holstebro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Næsby | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstebro vs Næsby?
- The Footlab model makes Holstebro the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Næsby.
- Where and when is Holstebro vs Næsby played?
- Holstebro vs Næsby is played on March 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Krøyer Park, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.