Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 27Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), Kiel
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg?
Holstein Kiel II starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel II have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel II score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel II | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel II sit 3rd in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holstein Kiel II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Citti Fussball Park - Projensdorf (Platz A), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.