Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on March 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Holstein Kiel starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,876).

Holstein Kiel win48 %

Draw25 %

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holstein Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Holstein Kiel 1-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Aug 5, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Jul 16, 2022	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?: Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on March 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.