Match

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielSpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab AI model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holstein Kiel wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,998) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,927).

50%26%24%
Holstein Kiel winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-3-3
  1. 19P. Harres
  2. 10J. Therkelsen
  3. 11G. de Regt
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 15K. Davidsen
  3. 8G. Balzi
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 4S. Schonlau
  1. 1T. Weiner

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4-2-3-1
  1. 42O. Sillah
  1. 13P. Will
  2. 30F. Klaus
  3. 10Ole Pohlmann
  4. 6S. Bansé
  5. 8S. Appelkamp
  1. 22J. Heuer
  2. 27G. Itter
  3. 23J. Dehm
  4. 34Hendry Aron Blank
  1. 1Florian Hellstern

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Odense(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Nov 7, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Nov 6, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)2-02. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holstein Kiel wins, 0 draws, 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026Holstein Kiel 1-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Aug 5, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.41.147/157/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.31.929/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (8 points from 11 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11335131912
18Holstein Kiel1115511148

A question about Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The Footlab AI model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on March 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holstein Kiel and SpVgg Greuther Fürth