Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Dynamo Dresden

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden?

Dynamo Dresden starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,879).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win29 %

Draw25 %

Dynamo Dresden win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Dynamo Dresden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Westfalia Rhynern(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Union Berlin(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	Dynamo Dresden 2-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Aug 3, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-2 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Jun 9, 2020	Dynamo Dresden 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2019	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Apr 4, 2019	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2018	Dynamo Dresden 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Dynamo Dresden	2.8	0.9	8	5/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Dynamo Dresden	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden?: The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Dynamo Dresden is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.