Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,880) and Holstein Kiel (1,976).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win43 %

Draw25 %

Holstein Kiel win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Holstein Kiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Holstein Kiel 1-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Aug 5, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Jul 16, 2022	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?: The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.