Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel played?

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,016) and Holstein Kiel (1,982).

Arminia Bielefeld win56 %

Draw23 %

Holstein Kiel win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Holstein Kiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 23, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025	Holstein Kiel 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Apr 2, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 17, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
May 30, 2020	Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel on Jan 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?: The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel played?: Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.