Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia BielefeldHolstein Kiel

The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arminia Bielefeld wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,836 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?

On Elo ratings, Arminia Bielefeld has 2,006 points and Holstein Kiel 1,964.

55%24%21%
Arminia Bielefeld winDrawHolstein Kiel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arminia Bielefeld

3-4-2-1
  1. 11J. Grodowski
  1. 38M. Wörl
  2. 17A. Sicker
  3. 31L. Jensen
  4. 14M. Momuluh
  5. 10J. Rochelt
  6. 7H. Koudossou
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 21S. Russo
  3. 19M. Großer
  1. 1J. Kersken

Holstein Kiel

4-3-3
  1. 19P. Harres
  2. 10J. Therkelsen
  3. 11G. de Regt
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 15K. Davidsen
  3. 20A. Kaprálik
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 4S. Schonlau
  1. 1T. Weiner

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)2-12. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 2026Hertha BSC(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arminia Bielefeld wins, 1 draw, 0 Holstein Kiel wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Jan 23, 2026Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025Holstein Kiel 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Apr 2, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Sep 17, 2022Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld on Nov 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld1.81.4311/1512/15
Holstein Kiel1.21.338/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (17 points from 11 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (8 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld11524181617
18Holstein Kiel1115511148

A question about Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel

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