Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,034) and Holstein Kiel (1,984).

VfL Wolfsburg win49 %

Draw25 %

Holstein Kiel win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Verl(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 28, 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel	DFB Pokal
Jan 24, 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein Kiel	Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2024	Holstein Kiel 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Jul 14, 2021	VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 22, 2020	VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel on Oct 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.