Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL WolfsburgHolstein Kiel

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Wolfsburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?

On Elo ratings, VfL Wolfsburg has 2,062 points and Holstein Kiel 1,969.

56%23%21%
VfL Wolfsburg winDrawHolstein Kiel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Reese
  2. 17A. Bernhardsson
  3. 19R. Glatzel
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 31Y. Gerhardt
  1. 6H. Wahl
  2. 21J. Mæhle
  3. 2K. Fischer
  4. 22M. Angely
  1. 30J. Zieliński

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 27I. Ugoh
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 13I. Nekić
  3. 5N. Madsen
  4. 47J. Tolkin
  1. 1T. Weiner

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)4-42. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026Havelse(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)5-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)4-42. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 1 draw, 2 Holstein Kiel wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein KielDFB Pokal
Jan 24, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein KielBundesliga
Aug 31, 2024Holstein Kiel 0-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Jul 14, 2021VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Aug 22, 2020VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel on Oct 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg2.71.549/1510/15
Holstein Kiel1.51.7110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 5th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 7 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5VfL Wolfsburg7331191212
18Holstein Kiel70437114

A question about VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel played?
VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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