1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Fritz-Walter-Stadion, Kaiserslautern
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,997) and Holstein Kiel (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Holstein Kiel 1-3 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0-3 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Holstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel played?
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Fritz-Walter-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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