Match

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Fritz-Walter-Stadion, Kaiserslautern

1. FC KaiserslauternHolstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,997) and Holstein Kiel (1,983).

1. FC Kaiserslautern win48 %
Draw25 %
Holstein Kiel win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Kaiserslautern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Metz(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Sudtirol(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV 1860 München(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026Holstein Kiel 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Nov 23, 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 4-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Apr 27, 2024Holstein Kiel 1-3 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Nov 26, 20231. FC Kaiserslautern 0-3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Feb 4, 20231. FC Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Jul 23, 2022Holstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Kaiserslautern1.11.183/156/15
Holstein Kiel1.71.5410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Holstein Kiel2020442
141. FC Kaiserslautern2020002

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel played?
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Fritz-Walter-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Holstein Kiel

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