Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The New Oval, Holyhead, Isle of Anglesey
The Footlab AI model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holyhead Hotspur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,059 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Holyhead Hotspur (1,081) and Denbigh Town (1,091).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holyhead Hotspur have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Denbigh Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Blaen-y-Maes(home) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 7-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Holyhead Hotspur wins, 1 draw, 1 Denbigh Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Denbigh Town 2-4 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Denbigh Town 1-1 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Holyhead Hotspur 3-2 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Denbigh Town 4-3 Holyhead Hotspur | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Denbigh Town vs Holyhead Hotspur on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holyhead Hotspur score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holyhead Hotspur sit 12th in FAW Championship (15 points from 13 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 9th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Denbigh Town | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Holyhead Hotspur the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town played?
- Holyhead Hotspur vs Denbigh Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The New Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.