Holywell vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
The Footlab model makes Holywell the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holywell vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Holywell (1,734) and Haverfordwest County AFC (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holywell have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Haverfordwest County AFC have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Holywell score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holywell | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holywell sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holywell vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Holywell the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Holywell vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- Holywell vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Bartons North Wales Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.