Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Colwyn Bay (1,887) and Briton Ferry (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Briton Ferry have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Colwyn Bay win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Briton Ferry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-2 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Colwyn Bay 2-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Briton Ferry sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry is played on March 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.