Hønefoss vs Grorud: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)AKA Arena, Hønefoss
The Footlab model makes Hønefoss the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Grorud. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hønefoss vs Grorud?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Hønefoss (1,912) and Grorud (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hønefoss have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Grorud have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(home) | 9-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 5-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hønefoss win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Grorud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Grorud 3-2 Hønefoss | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Grorud 1-3 Hønefoss | Obos Supercup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hønefoss 1-1 Grorud | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Grorud 5-1 Hønefoss | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Hønefoss 3-3 Grorud | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Grorud 2-0 Hønefoss | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hønefoss score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grorud score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hønefoss | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Grorud | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hønefoss sit 4th in 2. Division - Group 2 (32 points from 16 matches) and Grorud sit 5th (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hønefoss | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 24 | 32 |
| 5 | Grorud | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hønefoss vs Grorud?
- The Footlab model makes Hønefoss the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Grorud.
- Where and when is Hønefoss vs Grorud played?
- Hønefoss vs Grorud is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at AKA Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.