Rana vs Lørenskog: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nye Sagbakken Stadion, Mo i Rana
The Footlab model makes Rana the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lørenskog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rana vs Lørenskog?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Rana (1,775) and Lørenskog (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lørenskog have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Follo(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moss(home) | 0-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eidsvold(home) | 1-7 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hønefoss(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rana win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lørenskog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lørenskog 1-2 Rana | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rana score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lørenskog score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rana | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Lørenskog | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rana sit 9th in 2. Division - Group 2 (20 points from 15 matches) and Lørenskog sit 6th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lørenskog | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 9 | Rana | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rana vs Lørenskog?
- The Footlab model makes Rana the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lørenskog.
- Where and when is Rana vs Lørenskog played?
- Rana vs Lørenskog is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nye Sagbakken Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.