Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Malšovická Aréna, Hradec Králové
The Footlab model makes Hradec Králové the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Hradec Králové (2,052) and FK Jablonec (2,014).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hradec Králové have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hradec Králové win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FK Jablonec 1-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hradec Králové 2-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FK Jablonec 2-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Hradec Králové 1-2 FK Jablonec | Cup |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Hradec Králové 1-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | FK Jablonec 2-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Hradec Králové on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hradec Králové score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hradec Králové | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hradec Králové sit 8th in Czech Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Hradec Králové the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec played?
- Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Malšovická Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.