Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Nisy, Liberec
The Footlab model makes Slovan Liberec the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Slovan Liberec (1,986) and Baník Ostrava (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Liberec have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Baník Ostrava have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Slovan Liberec win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Baník Ostrava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Slovan Liberec 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 0-2 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Slovan Liberec 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 2-0 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 2-2 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Slovan Liberec 3-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Liberec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Liberec sit 4th in Czech Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Baník Ostrava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slovan Liberec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava?
- The Footlab model makes Slovan Liberec the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava played?
- Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Nisy, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.