Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Slovácko. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?
Sparta Praha starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Slovácko have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-5 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sparta Praha win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Slovácko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha 5-2 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Slovácko 0-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Slovácko 0-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-2 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Slovácko 2-4 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Slovácko 1-3 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs Slovácko on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slovácko score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Slovácko | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 5th in Czech Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Slovácko sit 14th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Slovácko | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Slovácko.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Slovácko played?
- Sparta Praha vs Slovácko is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.