Plzen vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Pardubice?
Plzen starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Pardubice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Plzen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Plzen 0-1 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Pardubice 1-5 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Pardubice 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Plzen 2-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Pardubice 2-3 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Plzen 6-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 12th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Pardubice played?
- Plzen vs Pardubice is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.