HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)HSC-Stadion Constantinstraße, Hannover-List
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for HSC Hannover. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck?
Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HSC Hannover have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Bersenbrück(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 HSC Hannover win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Phönix Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HSC Hannover | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 17, 2025 | HSC Hannover 0-0 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs HSC Hannover on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
HSC Hannover score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSC Hannover | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HSC Hannover sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | HSC Hannover | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for HSC Hannover.
- Where and when is HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck played?
- HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at HSC-Stadion Constantinstraße, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt1-4Weiche Flensburg
- Aug 26, 2026SchöningenvsSt. Pauli II
- Aug 26, 2026TodesfeldevsVfB Oldenburg
- Aug 26, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsBremer SV
- Aug 26, 2026VfB LübeckvsHamburger SV II
- Aug 26, 2026SSV JeddelohvsHannover 96 II
- Aug 26, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsKickers Emden
- Aug 26, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsWerder Bremen II