Match

HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)HSC-Stadion Constantinstraße, Hannover-List

HSC HannoverPhönix Lübeck

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for HSC Hannover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,818).

HSC Hannover win26 %
Draw22 %
Phönix Lübeck win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HSC Hannover have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HSC Hannover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Bremer SV(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Emden(home)4-4Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 8, 2026Bersenbrück(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 HSC Hannover win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Phönix Lübeck win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HSC HannoverRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 17, 2025HSC Hannover 0-0 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs HSC Hannover on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

HSC Hannover score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HSC Hannover2.02.148/1511/15
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HSC Hannover sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
6HSC Hannover4211867

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck?
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for HSC Hannover.
Where and when is HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck played?
HSC Hannover vs Phönix Lübeck is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at HSC-Stadion Constantinstraße, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: HSC Hannover and Phönix Lübeck

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