Schöningen vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Elm-Stadion, Schöningen
The Footlab model makes Schöningen the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schöningen vs St. Pauli II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Schöningen (1,816) and St. Pauli II (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schöningen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Wolfenbuttel(away) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Schöningen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 St. Pauli II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | St. Pauli II 0-5 Schöningen | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Schöningen 3-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Schöningen on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schöningen score 1.8 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schöningen | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schöningen sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Schöningen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schöningen vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab model makes Schöningen the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is Schöningen vs St. Pauli II played?
- Schöningen vs St. Pauli II is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Elm-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt1-4Weiche Flensburg
- Aug 26, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsBremer SV
- Aug 26, 2026HSC HannovervsPhönix Lübeck
- Aug 26, 2026TodesfeldevsVfB Oldenburg
- Aug 26, 2026VfB LübeckvsHamburger SV II
- Aug 26, 2026SSV JeddelohvsHannover 96 II
- Aug 26, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsKickers Emden
- Aug 26, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsWerder Bremen II