Match

Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)JODA Sportpark, Todesfelde

TodesfeldeVfB Oldenburg

The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for VfB Oldenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Todesfelde (1,993) and VfB Oldenburg (2,010).

Todesfelde win41 %
Draw23 %
VfB Oldenburg win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Todesfelde have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Oldenburg have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Todesfelde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Schöningen(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Hamburger SV II(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026St. Pauli II(home)6-4Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026Hansa Rostock II(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
VfB Oldenburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026VfB Lübeck(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026Werder Bremen II(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026Paderborn II(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Todesfelde win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 VfB Oldenburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2025VfB Oldenburg 0-0 TodesfeldeRegionalliga - Nord
Sep 7, 2024Todesfelde 0-0 VfB OldenburgRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Todesfelde on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Todesfelde2.51.295/159/15
VfB Oldenburg2.11.7312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Todesfelde sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 4 matches) and VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2VfB Oldenburg431011310
10Todesfelde412111115

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg?
The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for VfB Oldenburg.
Where and when is Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg played?
Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Todesfelde and VfB Oldenburg

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