Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)JODA Sportpark, Todesfelde
The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for VfB Oldenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Todesfelde (1,993) and VfB Oldenburg (2,010).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Todesfelde have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Oldenburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 6-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Todesfelde win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 VfB Oldenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Todesfelde | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Todesfelde 0-0 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Todesfelde on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todesfelde | 2.5 | 1.2 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Todesfelde sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 4 matches) and VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Todesfelde | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for VfB Oldenburg.
- Where and when is Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg played?
- Todesfelde vs VfB Oldenburg is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt1-4Weiche Flensburg
- Aug 26, 2026SchöningenvsSt. Pauli II
- Aug 26, 2026HSC HannovervsPhönix Lübeck
- Aug 26, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsBremer SV
- Aug 26, 2026VfB LübeckvsHamburger SV II
- Aug 26, 2026SSV JeddelohvsHannover 96 II
- Aug 26, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsKickers Emden
- Aug 26, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsWerder Bremen II