Huesca vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Alcoraz, Huesca
The Footlab model makes Huesca the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huesca vs Atlético Madrid II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Huesca (1,878) and Atlético Madrid II (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huesca have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Madrid II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tardienta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Huesca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Madrid II score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huesca vs Atlético Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Huesca the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Madrid II.
- Where and when is Huesca vs Atlético Madrid II played?
- Huesca vs Atlético Madrid II is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Alcoraz, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.