Huétor Vega vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Viñas, Huétor Vega
The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huétor Vega vs Alhaurino?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Huétor Vega (1,759) and Alhaurino (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huétor Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Alhaurino have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torreperogil(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Huétor Vega win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alhaurino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Alhaurino 1-2 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Huétor Vega 1-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Huétor Vega 1-2 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Alhaurino 2-2 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Huétor Vega on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huétor Vega sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (45 points from 34 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huétor Vega vs Alhaurino?
- The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Alhaurino.
- Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Alhaurino played?
- Huétor Vega vs Alhaurino is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.