Marbelli vs Málaga II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbelli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs Málaga II?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,788) and Málaga II (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Málaga II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- ÁÁngel Recio
- IIván Benito Mancera
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Málaga II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marbelli wins, 1 draw, 1 Málaga II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Málaga II 0-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Marbelli 1-2 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Marbelli on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Málaga II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (13 points from 6 matches) and Málaga II sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Málaga II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Marbelli vs Málaga II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Málaga II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Málaga II.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs Málaga II played?
- Marbelli vs Málaga II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026MelillavsGranada II
- Nov 8, 2026Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsUD San Pedro
- Nov 8, 2026Huétor VegavsAlhaurino
- Nov 8, 2026Mancha RealvsAtlético Porcuna
- Nov 8, 2026MotrilvsAlmería II
- Nov 8, 2026Torre del MarvsMalaga City
- Nov 8, 2026Arenas ArmillavsCantoria
- Nov 8, 2026Churriana VegavsAtletico de Marbella