Where and when is Marbelli vs Málaga II played?

Marbelli vs Málaga II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marbelli vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara

Marbelli

Málaga II

The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbelli vs Málaga II?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,773) and Málaga II (1,775).

Marbelli win47 %

Draw29 %

Málaga II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marbelli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Málaga II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2025	Málaga II 0-0 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 17, 2024	Marbelli 1-2 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Marbelli on Mar 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Málaga II?: The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Marbelli vs Málaga II played?: Marbelli vs Málaga II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.