Torre del Mar vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Malaga City?
Torre del Mar starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,542).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torre del Mar vs Malaga City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Malaga City
4-3-3- JJuanfran
- RR. Gómez
- JJosu Ozkoidi
- ÓÓscar Puente
- FF. Irisarri
- AAndrés del RÃo
- 2Chechu
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- JJuanjo
- AAntonio Contreras Lozano
- FFernando Padilla
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Torre del Mar wins, 1 draw, 0 Malaga City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Malaga City 1-3 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Malaga City 0-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Torre del Mar 2-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Malaga City 0-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Torre del Mar on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torre del Mar sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (9 points from 9 matches) and Malaga City sit 18th (0 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 0 |
A question about Torre del Mar vs Malaga City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Malaga City played?
- Torre del Mar vs Malaga City is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.