Torre del Mar vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Malaga City?
Torre del Mar starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 4, 2025 | Polideportivo Almería(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2025 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mancha Real(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Torre del Mar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Malaga City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Malaga City 1-3 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Malaga City 0-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Torre del Mar 2-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Malaga City 0-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Torre del Mar on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Malaga City played?
- Torre del Mar vs Malaga City is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.