Where and when is Motril vs Almería II played?

Motril vs Almería II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motril vs Almería II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril

Motril

Almería II

The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motril vs Almería II?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Motril (1,850) and Almería II (1,751).

Motril win56 %

Draw26 %

Almería II win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Almería II have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motril
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Churriana Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Almería II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Águilas(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Deportiva Minera(home)	3-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026	Estepona(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Motril win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Almería II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2024	Almería II 1-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 19, 2023	Motril 1-1 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 2, 2023	Motril 2-1 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 8, 2022	Almería II 0-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 3, 2022	Almería II 3-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 5, 2021	Motril 1-1 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Motril on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motril	1.2	0.8	6	8/15	6/15
Almería II	0.9	1.7	0	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55	29	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motril vs Almería II?: The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Almería II.
Where and when is Motril vs Almería II played?: Motril vs Almería II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.