Huétor Vega vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Viñas, Huétor Vega
The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huétor Vega vs Malaga City?
Huétor Vega starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huétor Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 4, 2025 | Polideportivo Almería(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2025 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mancha Real(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Huétor Vega win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Malaga City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Malaga City 1-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Huétor Vega 4-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Huétor Vega 2-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Malaga City 0-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Huétor Vega 1-1 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Malaga City 0-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Huétor Vega on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huétor Vega vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Malaga City played?
- Huétor Vega vs Malaga City is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 28, 2027MotrilvsGranada II
- Feb 28, 2027Torre del MarvsAtletico de Marbella
- Feb 28, 2027Arenas ArmillavsAtlético Porcuna
- Feb 28, 2027MarbellivsCantoria
- Feb 28, 2027Churriana VegavsAlmería II