Malaga City vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malaga City vs Torre del Mar?
Torre del Mar starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Torre del Mar have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 4, 2025 | Polideportivo Almería(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2025 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mancha Real(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Malaga City win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Torre del Mar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Malaga City 1-3 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Malaga City 0-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Torre del Mar 2-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Malaga City 0-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Torre del Mar on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malaga City vs Torre del Mar?
- The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Malaga City vs Torre del Mar played?
- Malaga City vs Torre del Mar is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.