Motril vs Granada II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motril wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motril vs Granada II?
Motril starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motril vs Granada II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Granada II
Not enough data to predict the Granada II lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Granada II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Motril(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Motril win, 2 draws, 1 Granada II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada II 1-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Granada II 2-2 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Motril 2-0 Granada II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Motril 0-3 Granada II | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Motril score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Granada II score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motril | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Granada II | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motril sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (16 points from 9 matches) and Granada II sit 10th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Motril | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Granada II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Motril vs Granada II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motril vs Granada II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Motril vs Granada II played?
- Motril vs Granada II is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027MelillavsMálaga II
- Feb 28, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAlhaurino
- Feb 28, 2027Huétor VegavsMalaga City
- Feb 28, 2027Mancha RealvsUD San Pedro
- Feb 28, 2027Torre del MarvsAtletico de Marbella
- Feb 28, 2027Arenas ArmillavsAtlético Porcuna
- Feb 28, 2027MarbellivsCantoria
- Feb 28, 2027Churriana VegavsAlmería II