Where and when is Melilla vs Málaga II played?

Melilla vs Málaga II is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Melilla vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

Melilla

Málaga II

The Footlab model makes Melilla the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Málaga II?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Melilla (1,811) and Málaga II (1,779).

Melilla win58 %

Draw24 %

Málaga II win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Málaga II(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Linares Deportivo(home)	2-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Águilas(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Estepona(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Melilla win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Málaga II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Málaga II 3-3 Melilla	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 19, 2025	Melilla 2-1 Málaga II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Melilla on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Melilla	1.2	1.5	2	8/15	7/15
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Málaga II?: The Footlab model makes Melilla the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Melilla vs Málaga II played?: Melilla vs Málaga II is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.