Hull City vs Brighton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?
Brighton is a heavy favourite: 2,316 Elo points against 2,012, a 304-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Brighton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 3R. Giles
- 15J. Egan
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 14José María Andrés Baixauli
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Brighton have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hull City wins, 2 draws, 2 Brighton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | Hull City 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Hull City 1-0 Brighton | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Brighton 1-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2014 | Hull City 2-1 Brighton | FA Cup |
| Feb 17, 2014 | Brighton 1-1 Hull City | FA Cup |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Brighton 1-0 Hull City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Hull City vs Brighton on Feb 16, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Brighton | 2.5 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 8th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Brighton sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Hull City vs Brighton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Brighton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Brighton played?
- Hull City vs Brighton is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.