Match

Hummetroth vs Baunatal: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Erbacher Sportpark, Erbach im Odenwald

HummetrothBaunatal

The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hummetroth vs Baunatal?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Hummetroth (1,685) and Baunatal (1,765).

Hummetroth win35 %
Draw22 %
Baunatal win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hummetroth have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Baunatal have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hummetroth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern Alzenau(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)0-5Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(home)1-2Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 9, 2026TuBa Pohlheim(away)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Friedberg(home)2-4Oberliga - Hessen
Baunatal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(away)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Kassel(away)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026FC Gießen(home)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026Hadamar(away)1-2Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hummetroth win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Baunatal win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Hummetroth 0-1 BaunatalOberliga - Hessen
Sep 6, 2025Baunatal 4-1 HummetrothOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Hummetroth vs Baunatal on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hummetroth1.92.6013/1514/15
Baunatal1.51.9310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hummetroth sit 17th in Oberliga - Hessen (1 points from 5 matches) and Baunatal sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Baunatal5023492
17Hummetroth50145151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hummetroth vs Baunatal?
The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hummetroth.
Where and when is Hummetroth vs Baunatal played?
Hummetroth vs Baunatal is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erbacher Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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