Hvězda Cheb vs Chomutov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Hvězda Cheb tráva, Cheb
The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Hvězda Cheb. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hvězda Cheb vs Chomutov?
Chomutov is a heavy favourite: 1,731 Elo points against 1,384 — a 347-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hvězda Cheb have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Chomutov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(away) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Chomutov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Hvězda Cheb win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chomutov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Hvězda Cheb 0-1 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Chomutov 3-0 Hvězda Cheb | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Hvězda Cheb 0-2 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Chomutov 6-1 Hvězda Cheb | 4. liga - Divizie B |
Last archived meeting: Hvězda Cheb vs Chomutov on Jun 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hvězda Cheb score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chomutov score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hvězda Cheb | 0.9 | 2.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Chomutov | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hvězda Cheb sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie B (3 points from 3 matches) and Chomutov sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hvězda Cheb vs Chomutov?
- The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Hvězda Cheb.
- Where and when is Hvězda Cheb vs Chomutov played?
- Hvězda Cheb vs Chomutov is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Hvězda Cheb tráva, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.