Karlovy Vary vs Baník Sokolov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Drahovice UMT, Karlovy Vary
The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Baník Sokolov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlovy Vary vs Baník Sokolov?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Karlovy Vary (1,701) and Baník Sokolov (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlovy Vary have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Baník Sokolov have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Karlovy Vary win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Baník Sokolov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Baník Sokolov 3-4 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Karlovy Vary 1-1 Baník Sokolov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| May 23, 2025 | Karlovy Vary 0-0 Baník Sokolov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Baník Sokolov 1-2 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Karlovy Vary 2-0 Baník Sokolov | 3. liga - CFL A |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Baník Sokolov 3-1 Karlovy Vary | 3. liga - CFL A |
Last archived meeting: Baník Sokolov vs Karlovy Vary on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlovy Vary score 2.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Sokolov score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlovy Vary | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Baník Sokolov | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlovy Vary sit 4th in 4. liga - Divizie B (6 points from 3 matches) and Baník Sokolov sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Karlovy Vary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Baník Sokolov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlovy Vary vs Baník Sokolov?
- The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Baník Sokolov.
- Where and when is Karlovy Vary vs Baník Sokolov played?
- Karlovy Vary vs Baník Sokolov is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Drahovice UMT, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.