Icasa vs Duque de Caxias: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie CQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 1, 2012 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mauro Sampaio, Juazeiro do Norte, Ceará
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What was the result of Icasa vs Duque de Caxias?
Icasa won 2-1 on November 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 18′NaylhorIcasa
- 30′EdmárioDuque de Caxias
- 90′ElanardoIcasa (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Icasa have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Salgueiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Santa Cruz(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Guarany de Sobral(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Caxias(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Macaé(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Oeste(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Icasa score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy