Match

Horizonte vs Iguatu: prediction and stats

Cearense - 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, Horizonte, Ceará

HorizonteIguatu

The Footlab AI model makes Iguatu the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Horizonte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iguatu wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horizonte vs Iguatu?

Iguatu starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,639 vs 1,518).

32%29%39%
Horizonte winDrawIguatu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Horizonte vs Iguatu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Horizonte

4-3-3
  1. 7Betinho
  2. 9Willian Anicete
  3. 17Alison Araçoiaba
  1. 5Ramos
  2. 8Lauro
  3. 7Rogério
  1. 4Rafael
  2. 2Daelson
  3. 3Tiago Bettim
  4. 10Max
  1. 1Frank

Iguatu

Not enough data to predict the Iguatu lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horizonte have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Iguatu have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horizonte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2026Iguatu(away)1-3Cearense - 1
Feb 7, 2026Floresta(home)0-1Cearense - 1
Feb 1, 2026Ceara(away)0-4Cearense - 1
Jan 27, 2026Iguatu(away)1-1Cearense - 1
Jan 22, 2026Fortaleza EC(home)0-1Cearense - 1
Iguatu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Nacional AM(home)1-1Serie D
Jul 18, 2026Nacional AM(away)1-1Serie D
Jun 27, 2026Tuna Luso(home)1-1Serie D
Jun 21, 2026Tuna Luso(away)2-1Serie D
Jun 7, 2026Sampaio Correa(away)1-0Serie D

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Horizonte wins, 2 draws, 2 Iguatu wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2026Iguatu 3-1 HorizonteCearense - 1
Jan 27, 2026Iguatu 1-1 HorizonteCearense - 1
Feb 8, 2025Iguatu 1-1 HorizonteCearense - 1
Jul 29, 2021Horizonte 0-1 IguatuCearense - 2

Last archived meeting: Iguatu vs Horizonte on Feb 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horizonte score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Iguatu score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horizonte0.91.346/155/15
Iguatu1.50.8510/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horizonte sit 3rd in Cearense - 1 (5 points from 4 matches) and Iguatu sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.

Final 2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Horizonte4121445
3Iguatu4130426

A question about Horizonte vs Iguatu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horizonte vs Iguatu?
The Footlab AI model makes Iguatu the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Horizonte.
Where and when is Horizonte vs Iguatu played?
Horizonte vs Iguatu is played on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, in the Cearense - 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Horizonte and Iguatu

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