Iceland vs Kosovo: result 1-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeaguePlay-offs B/CKick-off on March 23, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
Full time
What was the result of Iceland vs Kosovo?
Kosovo won 1-3 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′O. ÓskarssonIceland
- 35′V. MuriqiKosovo
- 45′V. MuriqiKosovo
- 79′V. MuriqiKosovo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kosovo have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Kosovo(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Wales(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Montenegro(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Wales(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Iceland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Romania(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Cyprus(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Lithuania(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Iceland win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kosovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Kosovo 2-1 Iceland | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Iceland 2-0 Kosovo | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Kosovo 1-2 Iceland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Iceland score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kosovo score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kosovo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy