Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iğdır FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor?
Esenler Erokspor starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iğdır FK have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Esenler Erokspor have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Iğdır FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Esenler Erokspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Iğdır FK 0-3 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 2-3 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 3-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Iğdır FK 1-2 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iğdır FK sit 12th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Esenler Erokspor sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iğdır FK.
- Where and when is Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor played?
- Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.