Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Iğdır FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK?
Esenler Erokspor starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,905 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esenler Erokspor have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Iğdır FK have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Esenler Erokspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Iğdır FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Iğdır FK 0-3 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 2-3 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 3-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Iğdır FK 1-2 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esenler Erokspor sit 11th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Iğdır FK sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Iğdır FK.
- Where and when is Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK played?
- Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.