Igea Virtus vs Siracusa: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres, Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto
The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Siracusa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Igea Virtus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Igea Virtus vs Siracusa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Igea Virtus (1,692) and Siracusa (1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Igea Virtus vs Siracusa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Siracusa
Not enough data to predict the Siracusa lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Igea Virtus have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Siracusa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gela(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Igea Virtus win, 0 draws, 3 Siracusa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Igea Virtus 1-3 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Siracusa 3-0 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Igea Virtus 2-1 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Siracusa 1-0 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Igea Virtus vs Siracusa on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Igea Virtus score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Siracusa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igea Virtus | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Siracusa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Igea Virtus sit 7th in Serie D - Girone I (11 points from 7 matches) and Siracusa sit 11th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Igea Virtus vs Siracusa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Igea Virtus vs Siracusa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Igea Virtus the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Siracusa.
- Where and when is Igea Virtus vs Siracusa played?
- Igea Virtus vs Siracusa is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.