Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab AI model makes Ilirija the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Dren Vrhnika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilirija wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Ilirija (1,474) and Dren Vrhnika (1,531).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilirija
Not enough data to predict the Ilirija lineup.
Dren Vrhnika
4-3-3- MM. Seliškar
- TT. Ivanović
- AAlbin Ahmetaj
- DD. Klančnik
- JJan Mesec
- MM. Medic
- TT. Tomažon Beguš
- AA. Šparovec
- ŽŽ. Kolar
- KKristjan Tomažin
- AA. Božič
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Dren Vrhnika have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bilje(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krka(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 2-4 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Krško(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 0-5 | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dren Vrhnika score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Dren Vrhnika | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 4th in 2. SNL (19 points from 12 matches) and Dren Vrhnika sit 11th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ilirija | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 11 | Dren Vrhnika | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 14 |
A question about Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilirija the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Dren Vrhnika.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika played?
- Ilirija vs Dren Vrhnika is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.