Ilirija vs Krka: result 3-2 and analysis
Cup1st RoundKick-off on October 4, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
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What was the result of Ilirija vs Krka?
Ilirija won 3-2 on October 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′T. MaksimovićKrka
- 33′I. NadarevićIlirija
- 50′I. NadarevićIlirija
- 72′P. JugIlirija
- 76′A. DerviševičKrka
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Krka have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2023 | Primorje(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Fužinar(away) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Gorica(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Triglav(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2023 | Beltinci(home) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Primorje(home) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Fužinar(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Gorica(home) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ilirija win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Krka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Ilirija 1-1 Krka | 2. SNL |
| May 4, 2023 | Krka 3-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Ilirija 2-0 Krka | 2. SNL |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Ilirija 0-1 Krka | 2. SNL |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Krka 2-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Ilirija 1-2 Krka | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Krka score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Krka | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy