Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis: result 1-0 and analysis
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Zografou Grigóris Lamprákis, Athína (Athens)
Full time
What was the result of Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis?
Ilisiakos won 1-0 on September 29, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilisiakos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Asteras Varis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Agios Nikolaos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Aris Petroupolis(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Agia Paraskevi(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Proodeftiki(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Peramaikos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Thiva(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Marko(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Ialysos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | AE Mykonos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Afantou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilisiakos score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Varis score 1.7 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilisiakos | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Asteras Varis | 1.7 | 0.4 | 11 | 1/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy