Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Zografou Grigóris Lamprákis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab AI model makes Ilisiakos the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Asteras Varis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilisiakos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Ilisiakos (1,665) and Asteras Varis (1,681).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilisiakos
Not enough data to predict the Ilisiakos lineup.
Asteras Varis
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Varis lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilisiakos have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Asteras Varis have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AE Mykonos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Asteras(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Asteras Varis(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Atsalenios(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ilisiakos wins, 2 draws, 1 Asteras Varis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Asteras Varis 0-2 Ilisiakos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Asteras Varis 0-0 Ilisiakos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ilisiakos 0-0 Asteras Varis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Asteras Varis 2-1 Ilisiakos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Ilisiakos 1-0 Asteras Varis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Varis vs Ilisiakos on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilisiakos score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Varis score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilisiakos | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Asteras Varis | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilisiakos sit 2nd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (6 points from 2 matches) and Asteras Varis sit 9th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilisiakos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilisiakos the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Asteras Varis.
- Where and when is Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis played?
- Ilisiakos vs Asteras Varis is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Zografou Grigóris Lamprákis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.