Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ashton United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?
Ashton United starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilkeston Town
4-3-3- OO. Brown-Hill
- ZZ. Goodson
- JJ. Watts
- JJack Thomas
- JJ. Reid
- BBilly Bennett
- JJ. Maguire
- KK. Fenton
- AA. Troke
- RRyan Wilson
- RR. Durrant
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Ashton United have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Workington(home) | 6-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ilkeston Town win, 3 draws, 2 Ashton United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ashton United 1-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ashton United 0-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 0-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Ashton United 2-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 2-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ashton United 1-2 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Ilkeston Town on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 19 matches) and Ashton United sit 18th (17 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 13 |
A question about Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.