Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Ilkeston Town (1,732) and Ashton United (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ilkeston Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ashton United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ashton United 1-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ashton United 0-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 0-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Ashton United 2-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 2-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ashton United 1-2 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Ilkeston Town on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Ashton United sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 | Ilkeston Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.