Leek Town vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Avro?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,777) and Avro (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leek Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Avro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Avro 2-1 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Leek Town 3-4 Avro | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Avro?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Avro played?
- Leek Town vs Avro is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 27, 2027Hyde UnitedvsAlfreton Town
- Mar 27, 2027Curzon AshtonvsWarrington Town
- Mar 27, 2027Ilkeston TownvsAshton United
- Mar 27, 2027Lancaster CityvsBury
- Mar 27, 2027United of ManchestervsBamber Bridge
- Mar 27, 2027Whitby TownvsCleethorpes Town
- Mar 27, 2027RylandsvsWorkington