Leek Town vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Avro?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,834) and Avro (1,913).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Avro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Avro have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunston UTS(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Leek Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Avro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Avro 4-4 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Avro 2-1 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Leek Town 3-4 Avro | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 2.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Avro | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 12 matches) and Avro sit 4th (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 25 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 11 |
A question about Leek Town vs Avro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Avro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Avro played?
- Leek Town vs Avro is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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