Match

Leek Town vs Avro: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire

Leek TownAvro

The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leek Town vs Avro?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,777) and Avro (1,859).

Leek Town win33 %
Draw27 %
Avro win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leek Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026AFC Emley(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Stockton Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026United of Manchester(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Whitby Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Avro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hyde United(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Workington(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Alfreton Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Bamber Bridge(away)6-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Quorn(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leek Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Avro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2024Avro 2-1 Leek TownNon League Div One - Northern West
Nov 11, 2023Leek Town 3-4 AvroNon League Div One - Northern West

Last archived meeting: Avro vs Leek Town on Apr 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leek Town1.51.059/155/15
Avro3.31.3310/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leek Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Avro540113612
15Leek Town5122875

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Avro?
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Leek Town.
Where and when is Leek Town vs Avro played?
Leek Town vs Avro is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leek Town and Avro

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