Lancaster City vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,979 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lancaster City vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avro(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Prescot Cables(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Lancaster City win, 0 draws, 0 Bury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bury 0-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Bury vs Lancaster City on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 3.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bury | 3.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (20 points from 16 matches) and Bury sit 10th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bury | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 22 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 20 |
A question about Lancaster City vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Lancaster City vs Bury played?
- Lancaster City vs Bury is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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