Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Warrington Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Curzon Ashton (1,710) and Warrington Town (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Warrington Town have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Curzon Ashton win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warrington Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Warrington Town 0-4 Curzon Ashton | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Curzon Ashton 1-0 Warrington Town | National League - North |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Warrington Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton | National League - North |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Curzon Ashton 0-3 Warrington Town | National League - North |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Warrington Town 2-3 Curzon Ashton | FA Cup |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Warrington Town 1-4 Curzon Ashton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Warrington Town vs Curzon Ashton on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Warrington Town score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Warrington Town | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Warrington Town sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warrington Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town?
- The Footlab model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Warrington Town.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Warrington Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.