Match

Aubstadt vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 28Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt

AubstadtBayreuth

The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,849) and Bayreuth (1,832).

Aubstadt win47 %
Draw25 %
Bayreuth win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aubstadt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Bayreuth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Illertissen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(away)1-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Memmingen(home)1-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026Greuther Fürth II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Augsburg II(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bayreuth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Aubstadt 4-0 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Nov 7, 2025Bayreuth 2-3 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Apr 26, 2025Bayreuth 3-0 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Oct 12, 2024Aubstadt 0-0 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Mar 9, 2024Aubstadt 2-2 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 29, 2023Bayreuth 2-2 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Aubstadt vs Bayreuth on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aubstadt1.71.2210/157/15
Bayreuth2.21.459/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Bayreuth5212977
12Aubstadt41211075

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Bayreuth.
Where and when is Aubstadt vs Bayreuth played?
Aubstadt vs Bayreuth is played on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aubstadt and Bayreuth

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