Aubstadt vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 28Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,849) and Bayreuth (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Aubstadt 4-0 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bayreuth 2-3 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bayreuth 3-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Aubstadt 0-0 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Aubstadt 2-2 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Bayreuth 2-2 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is Aubstadt vs Bayreuth played?
- Aubstadt vs Bayreuth is played on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027TSV 1860 MünchenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Mar 25, 2027EichstättvsEltersdorf
- Mar 25, 2027Augsburg IIvsBayern München II
- Mar 25, 2027BuchbachvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Mar 25, 2027IllertissenvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Mar 25, 2027Wacker BurghausenvsMemmingen
- Mar 25, 2027Schwaben AugsburgvsNürnberg II
- Mar 25, 2027AnsbachvsVilzing