Buchbach vs SpVgg Unterhaching: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 28Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,870) and SpVgg Unterhaching (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Unterhaching have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buchbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching 0-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Buchbach 1-1 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Buchbach 0-6 SpVgg Unterhaching | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2023 | SpVgg Unterhaching 3-2 Buchbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 5, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Buchbach 1-3 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs SpVgg Unterhaching played?
- Buchbach vs SpVgg Unterhaching is played on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027TSV 1860 MünchenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Mar 25, 2027EichstättvsEltersdorf
- Mar 25, 2027AubstadtvsBayreuth
- Mar 25, 2027Augsburg IIvsBayern München II
- Mar 25, 2027IllertissenvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Mar 25, 2027Wacker BurghausenvsMemmingen
- Mar 25, 2027Schwaben AugsburgvsNürnberg II
- Mar 25, 2027AnsbachvsVilzing