Înainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Vasile Enache, Modelu
The Footlab model makes Înainte Modelu the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dunarea Calarasi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Înainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Înainte Modelu (1,464) and Dunarea Calarasi (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Înainte Modelu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dunarea Calarasi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Înainte Modelu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dunarea Calarasi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Înainte Modelu | Cupa României |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 1-1 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Înainte Modelu 2-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Înainte Modelu 0-2 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Înainte Modelu 2-0 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Înainte Modelu score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Înainte Modelu | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Înainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi?
- The Footlab model makes Înainte Modelu the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dunarea Calarasi.
- Where and when is Înainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi played?
- Înainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Vasile Enache, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.